| Lets take a little look at my AFC South Game of | | | | and is more tested by time favoring the Texans. |
| the Year play on the Titans versus the Texans. | | | | Lets look at two more: |
| The most intriguing thing about this matchup is | | | | Tennessee is 9-1 ATS after gaining 200 or more |
| that Vince Young returns home, which will | | | | rushing yards in their previous game the past 14 |
| probably create more pressure for him than | | | | seasons. This system play is a little bit stronger |
| anything else. But I don't think he'll press too much | | | | than our first in favor of Tennessee, especially |
| in front of his 100 family and friends and just fall | | | | since Houston's rushing defense is just average. |
| apart. | | | | Tennessee is only averaging 18.4 points per game |
| The other intriguing thing about this matchup is | | | | and Houston is 9-1 ATS when they allow 15 to 21 |
| that Tennessee won the first meeting at home | | | | points over the last 3 seasons with Houston |
| so Houston will look to bounce back with a home | | | | winning these game outright on average by 2 |
| win of its own to even the season series. | | | | points. Houston isn't known for it's defense, but |
| To give you a handicapping crash course, there | | | | the "D" is just giving up 20.2ppg at home this |
| are many factors in favor of both sides that | | | | season. So if Houston can moderately hold down |
| must be taken into consideration before arriving | | | | its opponents, it has covered 90% of the times |
| at our winner. Let's have a look at some factors | | | | the last 3 years. |
| in favor of both sides for this week's big matchup. | | | | I hope I haven't swayed you one way or the |
| Fist off, we can always look at things with "the | | | | other. That wasn't the point. The point was to |
| what have you done for me lately" standpoint. | | | | give you a glimpse into the head of this |
| Tennessee is 7-1 ATS after the first month of | | | | handicapper and to show you that I take these |
| the season this season. That's looks pretty good, | | | | systems and stat trends and apply them to the |
| but the fact that this game is on the road in a | | | | game, the matchups, the circumstances, etc. |
| revenge situation doesn't make this stat trend | | | | I'm ready to deliver another big game of the year |
| invincible. | | | | winner this week as I have this matchup down to |
| Tennessee is just 4-15 ATS when playing a bad | | | | a science. Feel safe playing this Sunday's 100% |
| team with a winning percentage between 25% | | | | Guaranteed AFC South Game of the Year on |
| and 40% in the second half of the season the | | | | Dave Price's side! |
| past 14 seasons. This system is more complex | | | | |